Although the national races are looking more and more optimistic for Republicans, it may be that the Republican trend will not reach to California -- at least insofar as the California Legislature is concerned.
Earlier in the election cycle, Republicans had hopes of pckiing up two Democratic seats -- one held by Alyson Huber in the Lodi area, and a second now held by Joan Buchanan in the Walnut Creek area. It now appears that GOP efforts in those two races will come up short. Moreover, a second Sacramento area seat, now held by termed out Republican Roger Niello, may be in danger of falling into Democratic hands. The Democrats moved $ 400,000 into the campaign coffers of the Democratic candidate in that district. Insiders have told CR that Assembly Republican Leader Martin Garrick may be in for trouble if these current projections hold.
Over in the Senate, what seemed to be a GOP opportunity to unseat Orange County Democrat Lou Correa has gone by the wayside. Even the California Chamber of Commerce has coalesced behind the pro-business Corrrea. Republicans have reasonable hopes of holding the Merced-area Senate seat currently held by the termed out Jeff Denham (who is going to Congress), as their candidate, Anthony Cannella (son of former Democratic Assembly Member Sal Cannella) appears to be leading the Democrat, Anna Caballero.
A currently held Democratic Senate seat in the lower central valley is up for grabs, although current soundings are that the Democrat, Michael Rubio, enjoys a small edge over Republican Tim Thiesen.
Bottom line: Congress may change, but don't look for many changes in the composition of the California Legislature.
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